“Absurdly improbably things happen all the time”

Statistician David J. Hand explains why, in Slate:

1.  There are an infinite number of improbable events that could occur
2.  Lots of things happen – every day, every month, every year
3.  The improbable becomes inevitable

Add to this the fact that our minds are inclined to focus on the improbable that does happen and to point it out to others.  It should not surprise us when we are surprised!

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s